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Ben Labowstin's avatar

I worry that this focuses on consensus, rather than truth, and whilst that is still valuable, it also has failure modes.

I might have missed something in your plan, but I feel like if I know a truth that goes against the consensus, I'm incentivised to spread the consensus, rather than the truth?

'Truth' is probably an impossible target, so I get why you would go for consensus, but as soon as you try and incentivise spreading a consensus view, this negatively impacts truth.

For an example of how this can be a problem, just look at the herding of the pollsters at the moment. Nobody is incentivised to publish an outlier, and suddenly the "wisdom of crowds" is destroyed, by everyone trying to say the 'correct' thing.

What you really want is to incentivise people to speak their minds, even when those thoughts go against the consensus. If you select specifically for the people most able/willing to align with the consensus then you guarantee that you are selecting for people who are not speaking their true minds.

(And before you ask, I don't have a solution. I think the whole situation might be fundamentally unsolvable, sorry!)

matthew's avatar

I've been working towards something that rhymes with this idea, happy to find others poking at it as well, excited to dig through backlog

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